Delhi Likely to Stay Modi-Fied: Mega Opinion Poll Predicts NDA Sweep in Lok Sabha Elections

In a significant revelation ahead of the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, the Mega Opinion Poll conducted has forecasted a sweeping victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Delhi. The poll results suggest a commanding 58% vote share for the NDA, leaving its opposition far behind. The Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance (INDIA), led by the Congress party, trails with a projected 39% vote share, while other parties are expected to secure a mere 3%.

This projection implies a continuation of the NDA’s dominance in Delhi, with all seven seats predicted to be won by the coalition. The survey, conducted from February 12 to March 1, covered 21 major states across India, encompassing a vast majority of Lok Sabha constituencies. With a sample size of 1,470 responses targeted for Delhi’s seven seats, the poll achieved an impressive 1,447 responses, offering a robust basis for its predictions.

The dominance of the NDA in Delhi comes as no surprise, given its performance in the 2019 elections when the BJP secured victories in all seven constituencies. The party has wasted no time in gearing up for the upcoming polls, having already announced sitting MP Manoj Tiwari as its candidate for North East Delhi. However, the BJP’s decision to drop four incumbent MPs from its list signifies a strategic move, introducing fresh faces to bolster its electoral prospects. Among the newcomers are Ramvir Singh Bidhuri (South Delhi), Praveen Khandelwal (Chandni Chowk), Kamaljeet Sehrawat (West Delhi), and Bansuri Swaraj (New Delhi).

In Delhi, the political landscape is further shaped by the alliance between the ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and the Congress party. While the AAP will contest in four seats – New Delhi, South Delhi, West Delhi, and East Delhi – the Congress will field candidates in Chandni Chowk, North East Delhi, and North West Delhi constituencies. This alliance aims to consolidate the anti-BJP vote share in the capital, although the Mega Opinion Poll suggests an uphill battle for the opposition.

The methodology employed in conducting the survey underscores its credibility and comprehensiveness. Covering all 518 Lok Sabha constituencies across the 21 states surveyed, the poll targeted three Vidhan Sabha constituencies in each Lok Sabha constituency. Subsequently, five polling booths were selected within each Vidhan Sabha constituency, where 210 interviews were conducted among eligible voters. Utilizing a structured questionnaire translated into 11 regional languages, the survey adopted a personal face-to-face interview approach conducted at randomly selected households.

With the Mega Opinion Poll indicating a strong mandate in favor of the NDA in Delhi, political analysts anticipate a continuation of the Modi wave that has characterized Indian politics in recent years. However, the final outcome will ultimately depend on various factors, including campaign strategies, local dynamics, and last-minute developments on the ground.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ): Delhi Likely to Stay Modi-Fied: Mega Opinion Poll Predicts NDA Sweep in Lok Sabha Elections

1. What is the significance of the Mega Opinion Poll conducted ? The Mega Opinion Poll conducted by is a comprehensive survey aimed at gauging voter sentiment and preferences ahead of the Lok Sabha elections. Covering 21 major states and over 95% of all Lok Sabha constituencies, it offers valuable insights into the political landscape of India.

2. How many seats are projected to be won by the NDA in Delhi according to the poll? The poll predicts a sweeping victory for the NDA in Delhi, with all seven seats likely to be won by the coalition.

3. Which parties are leading the electoral fray in Delhi? The Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA is the frontrunner in Delhi, while the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and the Congress party have formed an alliance to contest the elections.

4. What is the methodology employed in conducting the survey? The survey adopts a meticulous methodology, targeting three Vidhan Sabha constituencies within each Lok Sabha constituency. Subsequently, interviews are conducted at five polling booths within each Vidhan Sabha constituency, ensuring a diverse and representative sample of eligible voters.

5. How does the poll foresee the performance of the opposition parties in Delhi? The poll suggests a challenging electoral landscape for the opposition, with the Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance (INDIA), led by the Congress party, projected to secure a distant second position with a 39% vote share.

6. What implications does the poll have for the upcoming Lok Sabha elections? The poll results indicate a continuation of the NDA’s dominance in Delhi, potentially reinforcing the Modi-led government’s position at the center. However, the final outcome will depend on various factors, including campaign strategies and local dynamics.

Table: Mega Opinion Poll Projections for Delhi Lok Sabha Elections